Dear all,
We are pleased to announce that Candelaria Bergero (YSSP 2024) will be joining us online to present her work on the climate implications of failing to manage carbon. Please mark your calendars and join us for an exciting input and fruitful discussion.
Please find the details as well as the MS Teams info below.
Best,
Merle on behalf of the IIASA GENIE team
________________________________
From: QUADE Merle <quade(a)iiasa.ac.at>
Sent: Friday, September 12, 2025 10:18:36 AM (UTC+01:00) Amsterdam, Berlin, Bern, Rome, Stockholm, Vienna
To: genie-ece <genie-ece(a)iiasa.ac.at>; SHENG Di <sheng(a)iiasa.ac.at>; SCHLEUSSNER Carl-Friedrich <schleussner(a)iiasa.ac.at>; HWONG Yi-Ling <hwong(a)iiasa.ac.at>
Cc: Candelaria Bergero <bergero(a)wisc.edu>; Candelaria Bergero <candelaria.bergero(a)uci.edu>; SENGUPTA Sreyam <senguptas(a)iiasa.ac.at>; SCHEIFINGER Karl ; GASSER Thomas ; STEINHAUSER Jan ; Candelaria Bergero <mcberge1(a)uci.edu>
Subject: GENIE seminar: Candelaria Bergero
When: Wednesday, September 24, 2025 2:00 PM-3:00 PM.
Where: G9 Meeting Room
Dear GENIE team,
We are pleased to announce that Candelaria Bergero (YSSP 2024) will be joining us online to present her work on the climate implications of failing to manage carbon. Please mark your calendars and join us for an exciting input and fruitful discussion.
Title: The climate implications of failing to manage carbon
Abstract: In scenarios that limit the increase in global mean temperature (GMT) this century to 1.5 or 2°C, large quantities of carbon are managed by both carbon capture and storage (CCS) at point sources and atmospheric carbon dioxide removal (CDR). Such carbon management may be used to offset ongoing (“residual”) emissions from hard-to-abate sectors and to decrease the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere if various feasibility and sustainability challenges are overcome. Here, in over 16 million simulations of the simple climate model MAGICC, we systematically analyze the climate implications of failing to manage carbon to the degree called for in 407 different climate mitigation scenarios. We find that entirely failing to manage carbon relates to ~0.5°C higher GMT in 2100, making it impossible to meet the 1.5°C target, but leaving 2°C in reach this century–assuming the projected decreases in emissions still occur. Our results also show that peak temperatures are especially sensitive to land-based CDR (afforestation and reforestation) that often ramps up quickly in the scenarios, whereas end-of-century temperatures depend more on levels of engineered CDR (bioenergy with carbon capture and storage, direct air capture with storage). What is clear, though, is that the quantity of carbon in avoided emissions is vastly larger than carbon managed in every climate mitigation scenario.
Best,
Merle
________________________________________________________________________________
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Fascinating, the UK debate continues to evolve …
(and Jan and the PIK team, this does subtly signify the value to looking at European parliamentary debates to see what narratives and themes are being deployed, in my opinion, which we had proposed for WP6 😊)
From: Environmental Audit Committee <EACOM(a)parliament.uk>
Sent: Thursday, September 11, 2025 7:51 AM
To: Environmental Audit Committee <EACOM(a)parliament.uk>
Subject: Antarctica - Government opposed to polar geoengineering
House of Commons
Environmental Audit Committee
Thursday 11 September 2025
Antarctica: Government opposed to polar geoengineering
· UK also “keen to further engage” China on environmental protection in Antarctica
Government response: The UK and the Antarctic environment <https://url.uk.m.mimecastprotect.com/s/WRGXC9gLlTk9W4VvuofEtqeJDb?domain=pu…>
The Environmental Audit Committee has published the Government’s response to the Committee’s report on ‘the UK and the Antarctic environment’.
In its response, the Government rejects the use of Solar Radiation Management, or ‘geoengineering’, saying the UK has no plans to deploy the technique. This week a group of 42 polar scientists published analysis which found that proposed geoengineering techniques were not feasible and could even be “environmentally dangerous”.
The Government accepts many of the Committee’s other recommendations, including pressing Russia to reaffirm its commitment to the prohibition of mining and prospecting in Antarctic waters and fostering dialogue with all Antarctic Treaty System members, including China, on environmental protection and scientific cooperation.
It also agrees with the Committee’s recommendation that the Government should intensify diplomatic engagement to address the concerns of China and Russia in discussions around fishing quotas and Marine Protected Areas.
“The UK Government is keen to further engage China on the krill management framework and advance discussions on Marine Protected Areas and continues to seek opportunities to advance these discussions,” it says.
ENDS
Further information
The Environmental Audit Committee considers the extent to which the policies and programmes of government departments and non-departmental public bodies contribute to environmental protection and sustainable development, and to audit their performance against sustainable development and environmental protection targets. It is not a government committee but a select committee of the House of Commons with a key role in holding ministers to account. Any of our inquiries would correctly be described as a ‘parliamentary inquiry’ and not a ‘government inquiry’.
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Dear all,
Thank you once again for joining the meeting in Vienna and for being such engaged participants. I hope you all had a pleasant and safe journey home.
Attached you will find the slides from the communication workshop, along with a summary of the main action items.
General
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Aim to continue working on the established streams and provide updates during the monthly consortium meetings.
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Coordinators are responsible for scheduling follow-up online meetings with their smaller working groups. PIs should be CC’d on the invitations so that additional colleagues can join if they wish.
SRM (coordinated by Yi-Ling)
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Next steps: Yi-Ling to follow up with PIs & Carl to organize a call (after the Overshoot Conference) to outline the concrete steps and responsibilities across the teams for the structured SRM review.
CDR Permanence Paper (coordinated by Merle)
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Next steps: Merle adjusting the framing in coordination with Keywan.
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Merle will follow-up with the colleagues involved so far once there is a first manuscript draft.
CDR Survey (coordinated by Karl)
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Next core group meeting planned in October to finalize the broader research design.
CDR Portfolio & Residual Emissions (coordinated by Yoga)
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Key research questions identified:
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How portfolio expansion affects sectoral/regional CDR and residual emissions.
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Impact of trading CDR credits vs. domestic action.
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Effect of eligibility restrictions on regional deployment.
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Next steps: Yoga to run agreed scenarios & create figures → share results in PPT outline → co-authors meeting to plan paper.
Innovation Linkages Paper (coordinated by Finn)
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Framework of linkages developed
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Follow-up meetings to be scheduled
In case I forgot something, please feel free to add.
See you soon online!
Elina on behalf of IIASA team (more pics are here<https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/12WpltvdJ8JYcJ3lwkEBsQS5I81GnxdRP?us…>)
[cid:9b65d8e9-5198-439a-b763-49026e73ca4a]
Dear all, here is our updated list of tasks and deliverables as of September 2025. Let's continue to track this and discuss at our next and final meeting, most likely in Berlin/Potsdam at PIK.
